أنشئ صوت Charlie Munger الواقعي من أي نص

I'll tell you something about market predictions: everyone thinks they can predict the next crash, but they can't. The same people who claim to know everything will be the ones most surprised when it happens. That's how it always works.

Look at these young investors chasing every new technology stock. I'll tell you what's going to happen: they'll learn the same lesson every generation learns. The market has a way of teaching humility, and it's never a gentle teacher.

It’s remarkable how much long-term advantage we get by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent. Most people chase complicated miracles, but the real gains come from basic arithmetic and extreme patience. Avoid the standard mental traps and let time do the heavy lifting.

I would argue that building sustainable wealth requires three key elements: first, maintaining a consistent investment strategy; second, developing multiple income streams; and third, perhaps most importantly, having the patience to let compound interest work in your favor.

Let me tell you why we're looking at Japan right now. People ask me, "Warren, why invest in Japanese trading houses?" Well, the answer is simple: we're seeing remarkable value there. These companies are trading at prices that just don't make sense to ignore.

You know, I've watched a lot of people try to get rich quick, and it never works out well. The simple formula is to be honest, treat people fairly, and think long-term. I've seen it work over and over again. It's not complicated, but people make it complicated.

If you want peace, reduce your wants. If you expect a mansion, a house will disappoint you. If you expect a house, an apartment will disappoint you. But if you expect nothing, a small room becomes a gift. Happiness is inverse to expectations.

市场上最大的陷阱就是自以为是。你看那些所谓的天才投资者，大部分最后都栽在自己的傲慢上。记住，投资不是比谁更聪明，而是比谁能控制住自己的情绪。这个道理，我用了40年才真正明白。